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The US Dollar retreated from last week’s highs as markets reacted to Moody’s downgrade of the US government’s top credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 late Friday.
Moody’s cited concerns over the unsustainable federal deficit as the reason for lowering the rating. With this move, all three major rating agencies—Fitch, Moody’s, and Standard & Poor’s—have now stripped the US of its top credit rating due to fiscal risks.
The greenback showed persistent weakness against major currencies such as the Euro, Yen, and British Pound, pressured by renewed trade tensions and growing concerns about US fiscal stability. Political uncertainty and a lack of progress in US-China trade relations also contributed to the dollar’s decline, pushing it to a weekly low of $1.1350 against the Euro in response to Moody’s decision.
Meanwhile, gold surged past the key $3,300/oz mark, and the Japanese Yen strengthened to a weekly high of ¥143.50, as investors sought safe-haven assets following the downgrade.
The announcement came after a strong week on Wall Street, where optimism over the White House’s temporary deal with China to reduce tariffs by 115% for 90 days drove equities higher. The Nasdaq Composite led gains with a more than 7% increase, while the S&P 500 rose over 5%, marking a five-day winning streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed over 3%, moving back into positive territory for 2025.
Moody’s Downgrade Details:
On Friday, Moody’s lowered the US sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting challenges in funding the federal budget deficit and rising debt refinancing costs amid high interest rates. Moody’s noted that “successive US administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs.”
Previously, Moody’s had been the last of the major agencies to maintain the US at its top rating. With this downgrade, it now aligns with Standard & Poor’s, which cut the rating to AA+ in August 2011, and Fitch, which lowered it to AA+ in August 2023.
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