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Gold (XAU/USD) is widely recognized as a safe-haven asset. Its price is shaped by geopolitical developments, inflation trends, and changes in interest rates. During periods of global economic uncertainty, gold remains a cornerstone defensive asset for investment portfolios.
This article explores the key factors influencing gold prices and provides forecasts for today, the coming week, and the next 30 days. The analysis combines macroeconomic indicators, political events, and technical insights to offer a comprehensive trading outlook for XAU/USD.
Topics covered in this article include:
- Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD Today
- Real-Time XAU/USD Market Overview
- Gold Price Forecast for Tomorrow
- Gold Price Outlook for Next Week
- Gold Price Projection for the Next 30 Days
- Market Sentiment and Key Events Affecting Gold in the Next Month
- Methodology for Price Analysis and Forecasting
- Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast FAQs
Expert Technical Analysis for XAU/USD Today
On the 4-hour chart, the following signals are observed:
- A Doji Evening Star forming near resistance at $4,157.41 suggests a potential downside reversal. This bearish signal is reinforced by the appearance of a Shooting Star.
- MACD is declining within the positive zone and approaching the signal line, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
- RSI has moved out of the overbought region and is holding near 59, suggesting a potential opportunity for short positions.
- MFI remains neutral near the upper boundary; a drop below this level could indicate liquidity outflow, signaling potential short trades.
- VWAP aligns with the current market price, while SMA20 sits below it, reflecting market uncertainty and the possibility of consolidation.
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XAU/USD Trading Plan for Today
Gold Forecast for Today:
Key Support Levels: $4,059.90, $4,005.79, $3,951.68, $3,893.96, $3,820.00, $3,729.82, $3,643.24
Key Resistance Levels: $4,114.01, $4,157.41, $4,202.40, $4,254.97, $4,313.67, $4,373.89, $4,441.34
Base Scenario:
- Consider opening short positions below $4,059.90.
- Price targets: $4,005.79, $3,951.68, $3,893.96, $3,820.00, $3,729.82, $3,643.24
- Stop Loss: $4,085.49
Alternative Scenario:
- Consider opening long positions on increased buying volume above $4,114.01.
- Price targets: $4,157.41, $4,202.40, $4,254.97, $4,313.67, $4,373.89, $4,441.34
- Stop Loss: $4,085.49
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Analysis by Alan Tsagaraev
Alan Tsagaraev is an independent trader and market analyst with expertise in stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. He holds a degree in Economics and has been active in professional investing and trading since 2019, during which he has grown his capital more than tenfold.
XAU/USD Real-Time Market Status
As of 12.11.2025, gold is trading at $4,126.66.
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Gold Price Forecast for Tomorrow
On November 13, 2025, XAU/USD is expected to experience a short-term downward correction.
Gold Price Prediction – November 13, 2025
| Date | Daily Low ($) | Daily High ($) | Average Price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.11.2025 | 4,005.79 | 4,202.40 | 4,104.09 |
Gold Price Forecast for Next Week
High volatility is anticipated this week ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic data releases and speeches from FOMC members.
Weekly Gold Price Prediction – November 10–16, 2025
| Date | Weekly Low ($) | Weekly High ($) | Average Price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.11–16.11.2025 | 3,643.24 | 4,254.97 | 3,949.10 |
Gold Price Forecast for the Next 30 Days
In November 2025, gold is expected to rise moderately amid geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Investors are likely to seek safe-haven assets, supporting demand and pushing gold prices higher. Analysts project XAU/USD could reach $4,129.14–$4,230.00 by month-end.
30-Day Gold Price Forecast – November 2025
| Month | Monthly Low ($) | Monthly High ($) | Average Price ($) |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | 3,553.00 | 4,456.66 | 4,004.83 |
Gold Outlook: Market Sentiment and Key Events for the Next 30 Days
Factors that may influence XAU/USD in the coming month include:
- Gold Demand: The World Gold Council’s Q3 2025 report showed quarterly gold demand rising to 1,313 tonnes ($146 billion), with investment demand accounting for 55% (537 tonnes). The surge was driven by geopolitical instability, a weaker US dollar, and investor FOMO during the recent gold rally.
- ETF Inflows: Global gold ETF holdings increased by 222 tonnes ($26 billion), with year-to-date growth totaling 619 tonnes ($64 billion). North American funds led inflows (346 tonnes), followed by European (148 tonnes) and Asian funds (118 tonnes).
- Physical Investment: Demand for gold bars and coins rose by 316 tonnes (17% YoY), primarily in India (92 tonnes) and China (74 tonnes).
- Central Bank Purchases: Central banks bought 220 tonnes of gold in Q3, up 28% from Q2. Year-to-date purchases reached 634 tonnes, led by the National Bank of Kazakhstan and first-time acquisitions by Brazil in four years. The WGC expects central bank demand to reach 750–900 tonnes annually.
- Geopolitical Developments: Eased US-China tensions may pressure gold prices. Beijing’s willingness to assist in the Russia–Ukraine conflict could also weigh on XAU/USD.
- Monetary Policy: Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that a December rate cut is not guaranteed, which could limit gold’s upward potential.
- Upcoming Data Releases:
- November 13: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October (monthly and annual figures)
- November 21: US Manufacturing and Services PMI for November
Price Analysis and Forecasting Methodology
Our gold price forecasts combine multiple approaches:
- Fundamental Analysis: Examining key macroeconomic indicators and expert opinions that influence XAU/USD.
- Technical Analysis: Reviewing charts from H1 to H4 timeframes, identifying support and resistance levels, analyzing technical indicators, and studying candlestick patterns.
- Market Sentiment: Monitoring social media activity to gauge investor behavior and predict short-term price movements.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast FAQs
- Will the gold price increase tomorrow?
- Will gold go up or down next week?
- Will the gold rate decline over the next 30 days?
- What risks could trigger a short-term drop in gold’s value?
XAU/USD Real-Time Price Chart Available
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Free Trading Acoount Open With ORON LIMITED Signals (Gold, Oil, Forex, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Indices)
Open Account
Not profitable? Don’t worry! Join our copy trading system where we provide lower risk returns. Benefits of Joining Us:
-Lesser Risk as lot size is minimal
-Higher returns (approx. 5% to 10% monthly)
-Easy Deposit and Withdrawal with USDT using crypto wallets
-Lesser Drawdown
-Instant Support
-Invest Now and get guaranteed returns with us. DM us for more info❤️
-Start Now
*Copy Trading is free but we charge some percentage of profit as fees.*
Full VIP signals performance report for September 22–26, 2025: